World Cup 2026 Probability

What it does

Give it two teams (e.g. Argentina vs France) and get win/draw/loss probabilities, the most likely scorelines, expected goals, and a calibrated confidence score.

Why it's different

Unlike narrative-style AI predictors, this tool runs a transparent statistical model — World Football Elo + an independent dual-Poisson goal model — and publishes its real accuracy. Across 90 completed 2026 World Cup matches it scored 62.2% win/draw/loss accuracy and a 0.51 Brier score, evaluated pre-match with zero look-ahead. Numbers you can check, not marketing claims.

Multilingual

Ask in any language (English, 中文, Español, 日本語 …) — it replies in the same language.

Who it's for

Football fans, sports-data enthusiasts, and researchers who want a clear, quantitative read on match outcomes.

Statistical probability analysis for research and entertainment only. Not financial or investment advice; outcomes are inherently uncertain.